A pair of insightful editorials (
here and
here ) in the Washington Post explore the upcoming elections in Egypt, where various limitations have been placed on candidates challenging Egyptian autocrat-in-chief, Hosni Mubarak, who has ruled the country for 24 years. Candidates face limitations on their access to public fora such as state TV and press, intimidation from government thugs, and an abbreviated campaign schedule. Mubarak's primary opposition, reformist Parliamentarian Ayman Nour, has also been saddled with a
trumped up charge stemming from his signature campaign while securing his candidacy.
This topic is near and dear to my heart (my family is from Egypt), and I can say that many in our community are heartened that change is in the air in Egypt. While one of the editorials laments the lack of immediate pressure and change by the U.S. in Egypt's case, the important matter here is that by cracking the door just a bit, Mubarak has opened up the deluge of opposition voices that have been waiting to pour out. Government cronies can delay, hinder, and undermine the opposition for only so long. That Nour and his ilk have been able to criticise the regime openly is in itself a breathtaking change from the past two and a half decades. I suspect that the Bush administration was very wary of pushing too hard in Egypt's case considering the changes going on in the region. Another large populace in the Arab world in turmoil would do the U.S. no good for the time being, not when the largest opposition movement in Egypt remains the quixotic
Muslim Brotherhood. When it comes to the Arab world, media focus in the west has focused on Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Gaza, or Lebanon. However, Egypt and its population of 75 million (approximately 25% of the Arab world)represent a crucial part of the transition to a democratic and stable middle east. The situation surrounding the upcoming elections bears watching closely.